Will Benjamin Netanyahu say “Hormuz”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Benjamin Netanyahu said “Hormuz” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (14%), most recently on May 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Benjamin Netanyahu
Hormuz
- Probability
- 23% · n=7
- Settled
- 1/7 (14%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Benjamin Netanyahu yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Benjamin Netanyahu say “Hormuz”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Benjamin Netanyahu said “Hormuz” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (14%), most recently on May 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Benjamin Netanyahu says “Hormuz” next time?
- 23%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Benjamin Netanyahu: ‘Hormuz’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/benjamin-netanyahu/words/hormuz (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=benjamin-netanyahu&word=hormuz · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=benjamin-netanyahu&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP