Will “Turkey” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Turkey” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 20, 2025.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Turkey
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…as well. But it's not just the PRC. If you look at Turkey, if you look at Azerbaijan, if you look at UAE, Saudi Arabia,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…tell you is I know the President greatly enjoyed his visit to Turkey and not just his participation in the NATO summit, where he applauded…
…relations and there is a report they are going to meet in Turkey and the United States game in Los Angeles. Have you heard about…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | Turkey |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Turkey” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Turkey” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 20, 2025.
- What is the probability “Turkey” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Turkey’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/turkey (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=turkey · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP