Will “Trump” be said 5+ times at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trump” was not said 5+ times at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 10, 2024.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Trump 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
I am so honored to work for President Trump and the American people as the new White House press secretary. I want to thank President…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…The first thing I'm going to talk about is terrorism. Since President Trump returned to office, FBI data shows 4,260 arrests related to FTOs, including…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…things in order to build upon the great success of the first Trump administration and deliver wins for working people: no taxes on Social Security,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…We'll begin today with a few scheduling announcements. Later this afternoon, President Trump will welcome the Los Angeles Dodgers back to the White House to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…scheduling announcements. Tonight, as you all know, at 9:00 PM Eastern, President Trump will deliver a major address to the nation on protecting the integrity…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | Trump 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Trump 5+ times” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trump” was not said 5+ times at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 10, 2024.
- What is the probability “Trump 5+ times” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Trump 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/trump-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=trump%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP