Will “Thing” be said 7+ times at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Thing” was said 7+ times at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceWhite House press briefing
Thing 7+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the briefing room and congrats on the new position. One of the things that your predecessor, Karoline Leavitt, did is open this room up to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
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Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
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Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…and it means restoring the belief that we can make and build things right here, at home. This is what President Trump promised, and it's…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…who I signed up during my maternity leave. There are a few things I want to make clear about this massively beneficial program that has…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Thing 7+ times | Yes | 16 |
Questions
- How often is “Thing 7+ times” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Thing” was said 7+ times at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Thing 7+ times” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Thing 7+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/thing-7plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=thing%20%287%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP