Will “Terrorist / Terrorism” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Terrorist / Terrorism” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Terrorist / Terrorism
- Probability
- 28% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Department of Justice. The first thing I'm going to talk about is terrorism. Since President Trump returned to office, FBI data shows 4,260 arrests related…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…work of our troops, we would have had an energy crisis because the Iranians refused to stop acting like terrorists in the Strait of Hormuz.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…is not going to sit by and allow these active acts of terrorism to take place in the strait without ensuring Iran pays consequences for…
…we want to see is Iran not funding regional instability, funding regional terrorism, and of course trying to rebuild their nuclear weapons program. That's the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Terrorist / Terrorism” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Terrorist / Terrorism” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Terrorist / Terrorism” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Terrorist / Terrorism’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/terrorism-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP