Will “Tax cut” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Tax cut” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Tax cut
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the Rust Belt, have you noticed the trickle down effect of the tax cuts and the trade policy of the president having a positive effect…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…little more than a year after President Trump signed the Working Families Tax Cuts into law, this historic legislation continues to deliver on its promise,…
…Democrats and all Americans have this President to thank for the largest tax cuts in American history, which every Democrat on Capitol Hill voted against.…
But as you know, in the Working Families Tax Cut legislation, which I believe saved Medicaid. And the reason I say that is our actuaries…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…of you to go to trumpaccount.gov to sign up. We had an historic tax filing season. We passed the largest tax cuts in American history.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Tax cut |  Polymarket | Yes | 7 |
Questions
- How often is “Tax cut” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Tax cut” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability “Tax cut” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Tax cut’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/tax-cut (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=tax%20cut · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP