Will “Tax” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tax” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2025 (60%), most recently on May 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Tax
- Probability
- 41% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…attend these rallies because of President Trump's America First agenda of lower taxes, higher wages, and one of my favorites, secure borders. But it doesn't…
…our broader effort, which is, we're trying to make sure that your tax dollars and basic institutional trust is protected by your government. Whether it's…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…little more than a year after President Trump signed the Working Families Tax Cuts into law, this historic legislation continues to deliver on its promise,…
…child. Employers can also contribute up to $2,500 per year on a tax favored basis counting toward the annual cap. The President believes there is…
…three months, two-thirds of the defensive weapons that have protected your homeland have been built by American hands and paid for by American tax dollars.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Tax” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tax” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2025 (60%), most recently on May 22, 2025.
- What is the probability “Tax” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Tax’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/tax (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=tax · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP