Will “Strait of Hormuz” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Strait of Hormuz” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 31, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Mar 30, 2026
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Strait of Hormuz
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…gone through. We got about 15 million barrels out of the Strait of Hormuz just yesterday, despite the fact that the Iranians continue to ship…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…they were not to fire on commercial vessels moving through the Strait of Hormuz. And unfortunately, they have made the tragic decision for them to…
…people. Last night, 12.5 million barrels of oil went through the Strait of Hormuz; that is a high since the beginning of the conflict. Oil…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…starting to see the disruption of the oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz affect economic data. You know, first, is there a deal on…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Strait of Hormuz” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Strait of Hormuz” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 31, 2026.
- What is the probability “Strait of Hormuz” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Strait of Hormuz’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/strait-of-hormuz (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=strait%20of%20hormuz · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP