Will “Somalia / Somalian / Somali” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Somalia / Somalian / Somali” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 7, 2026 (14%), most recently on Jan 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Somalia / Somalian / Somali
- Probability
- 29% · n=7
- Settled
- 1/7 (14%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of these individuals were naturalized citizens from Syria, Afghanistan, Sudan, Iraq and Somalia. When it comes to unlawful voting, which I expect there may be…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Somalia / Somalian / Somali |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Somalia / Somalian / Somali | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Somalia / Somali / Somalian |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Somalia / Somali / Somalian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Somalia / Somali / Somalian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Somalia / Somali / Somalian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Somali / Somalia / Somalian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Somali / Somalia / Somalian | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Somalia / Somalian / Somali” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Somalia / Somalian / Somali” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 7, 2026 (14%), most recently on Jan 7, 2026.
- What is the probability “Somalia / Somalian / Somali” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Somalia / Somalian / Somali’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/somali-or-somalia-or-somalian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=somali%20%2F%20somalia%20%2F%20somalian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP