Will “Social Security” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Social Security” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 29, 2025.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Social Security
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…first Trump administration and deliver wins for working people: no taxes on Social Security, no taxes on tips, no taxes on overtime. We've seen $19…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…tax on overtime. More than 35 million seniors claimed no tax on Social Security, and nearly 8 million workers claimed no-tax on tips. Thanks to…
…no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, the reduced taxes on Social Security benefits. 85 percent of our seniors pay no taxes, and the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2025 | Social Security |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Social Security” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Social Security” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 29, 2025.
- What is the probability “Social Security” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Social Security’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/social-security (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=social%20security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP