Will “Senate” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Senate” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jul 23, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Senate
- Probability
- 45% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…information that we found, that the FBI found that produced to the Senate in response to inquiries that they had, it is new information about…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…a non-crazy person like Mike Rogers representing Michigan in the United States Senate, rather than a crazy person like El-Sayed. That said, my attitude towards…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Hill from both chambers, as you just mentioned, the House and the Senate Republicans want to keep the government open. We want to work together…
…were in a great position with it. Do you anticipate that the Senate is going to be more aggressive to push the SAVE America Act…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…briefing; I believe right now, the House is out of session, the Senate is in session, though maybe I've reversed that. But we're going to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Senate” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Senate” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jul 23, 2025.
- What is the probability “Senate” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Senate’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/senate (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=senate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP