Will “SCOTUS / Supreme Court” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “SCOTUS / Supreme Court” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2025.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
SCOTUS / Supreme Court
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Hey, thanks so much. Oh, sorry. Does the Supreme Court's ruling on the mail in ballot executive order present an obstacle to future ballot fraud…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…growing up since grammar school there are nine justices on the US Supreme Court. How long does it stay that way based on what happened…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2025 | SCOTUS / Supreme Court |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often is “SCOTUS / Supreme Court” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “SCOTUS / Supreme Court” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2025.
- What is the probability “SCOTUS / Supreme Court” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘SCOTUS / Supreme Court’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/scotus-or-supreme-court (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=scotus%20%2F%20supreme%20court · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP