Will “Radical Left” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Radical Left” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 22 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (5%), most recently on Dec 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=22, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 10 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Radical Left
- Probability
- 16% · n=22
- Settled
- 1/22 (5%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Every settled listing
newest first · 24 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Radical Left |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Radical Left |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Radical Left | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Radical Left | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Radical Left | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Radical Left | Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Radical Left” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Radical Left” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 22 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (5%), most recently on Dec 11, 2025.
- What is the probability “Radical Left” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 16%, from settlement history (n=22). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Radical Left’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/radical-left (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=radical%20left · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP