Will “Police” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Police” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.

40%from settlement history only · n=2counts: role: press secretary
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
role: press secretary

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

White House press briefing

Police

Probability
40% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

The PressreporterAttorney General of the United States Todd Blanche Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 15, 2026 · Sep 15, 2026 · 27:26In transcript

…deaths that occurred that day, including the killing of two women by police, and any federal agency involvement? And will you also consider investigating whether…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 3, 2026 · Sep 3, 2026 · 55:51In transcript

…supporting law enforcement. They've fought us on giving tax breaks to our police officers. So, on every issue where we've been successful in promoting law…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Jun. 18, 2026 · Jun 18, 2026 · 11:25In transcript

…the elected representatives of the people of Lebanon, who are able to police southern Lebanon so that Hezbollah is not taking over the country, the…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Feb 10, 2026PolicePolymarketNo–
Feb 5, 2026PolicePolymarketYes1

Questions

How often is “Police” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Police” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 5, 2026.
What is the probability “Police” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Police’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/police (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=police · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP