Will “Peace plan / Peace agreement” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Peace plan / Peace agreement” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Peace plan / Peace agreement
- Probability
- 32% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of things off the bat. First of all, I think the president's peace plan in Iran is already bearing real fruits for the American people.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Peace plan / Peace agreement |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Peace plan / Peace agreement | Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Peace plan / Peace agreement” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Peace plan / Peace agreement” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Peace plan / Peace agreement” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Peace plan / Peace agreement’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/peace-agreement-or-peace-plan (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=peace%20agreement%20%2F%20peace%20plan · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP