Will “Paid Agitator / Professional Agitator” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Paid Agitator / Professional Agitator” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Paid Agitator / Professional Agitator
- Probability
- 32% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Paid Agitator / Professional Agitator |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Paid Agitator / Professional Agitator | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Paid Agitator / Professional Agitator” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Paid Agitator / Professional Agitator” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Paid Agitator / Professional Agitator” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Paid Agitator / Professional Agitator’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/paid-agitator-or-professional-agitator (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=paid%20agitator%20%2F%20professional%20agitator · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP