Will “Oil” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Oil” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 19, 2025 (38%), most recently on Mar 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Oil
- Probability
- 35% · n=8
- Settled
- 3/8 (38%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…dominance, because energy security is national security. President Trump secured the biggest oil deal in world history, delivering the US majority control of more than…
…thing I want to talk about a little bit is the Venezuela oil deal, which I know some of you will have questions on, but…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
With respect to gas prices, as you know, the price of oil right now is approximately $80 a barrel, maybe a little less. Before I…
…real fruits for the American people. Last night, 12.5 million barrels of oil went through the Strait of Hormuz; that is a high since the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…down. That's why I believe, and the futures market is showing us, oil will be lower than pre-conflict levels. We are more resilient to energy…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Oil” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Oil” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 19, 2025 (38%), most recently on Mar 30, 2026.
- What is the probability “Oil” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Oil’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP