Will “North Korea” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “North Korea” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
North Korea
- Probability
- 32% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | North Korea |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 5, 2026 | North Korea | Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “North Korea” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “North Korea” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “North Korea” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘North Korea’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/north-korea (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=north%20korea · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP