Will “North Carolina” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “North Carolina” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
North Carolina
- Probability
- 33% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…on pace for the best year in its history. Ketchy Inc. in North Carolina was able to purchase new machinery and expand its workforce by…
…Jersey, a Saudi national convicted of indecent liberties with a child in North Carolina, a Mexican national convicted of continuous sexual abuse of a child…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | North Carolina |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | North Carolina | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 22, 2025 | North Carolina | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “North Carolina” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “North Carolina” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 22, 2025.
- What is the probability “North Carolina” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘North Carolina’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/north-carolina (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=north%20carolina · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP