Will “Washington DC / Nation's Capital” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Washington DC / Nation's Capital” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 20, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Washington DC / Nation's Capital
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to murder a Russian dissident who they believe was located in the Washington, DC area. I want to talk next about the great work that…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…good morning, everybody. Nothing to talk about, slow news day here in Washington, DC. So, let me just say a couple of things off the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2025 | Washington DC / Nation's Capital |  Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Washington DC / Nation's Capital | Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
Questions
- How often is “Washington DC / Nation's Capital” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Washington DC / Nation's Capital” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 20, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 29, 2025.
- What is the probability “Washington DC / Nation's Capital” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Washington DC / Nation's Capital’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/nations-capital-or-washington-dc (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=nation%27s%20capital%20%2F%20washington%20dc · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP