Will “National Security” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “National Security” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 7, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
National Security
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…are once again bringing back American energy dominance, because energy security is national security. President Trump secured the biggest oil deal in world history, delivering…
…And my second question is is the AI doomsday talk a real national security issue, or is it a way to put the government in…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…taking place. And again, they're of the utmost importance, not just for our national security, but to ensure America remains dominant in this space. Stephen.
…have returned home thanks to this president and the efforts of his national security team. To your first question about the comments between the President…
…any appointee for the position of the Director of National Intelligence shall have extensive national security expertise. What extensive national security expertise does he have?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | National Security |  Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
Questions
- How often is “National Security” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “National Security” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 7, 2026.
- What is the probability “National Security” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘National Security’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/national-security (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=national%20security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP