Will “Mineral” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Mineral” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

36%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

White House press briefing

Mineral

Probability
36% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 3, 2026 · Sep 3, 2026 · 3:29In transcript

…months but importantly, if we've learned anything over the last 40 years, it's that these things, the supply of critical minerals and resources really matters.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

The PressreporterPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Jul. 16, 2026 · Jul 16, 2026 · 35:49In transcript

Last year, the administration signed a critical minerals deal, mining deal with Kazakhstan for a little known US company, who was an agreement that President…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Mar 17, 2025MineralPolymarketNo0
Mar 11, 2025MineralPolymarketNo0

Questions

How often is “Mineral” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Mineral” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2025.
What is the probability “Mineral” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Mineral’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/mineral (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=mineral · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP