Will “Mineral” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Mineral” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceWhite House press briefing
Mineral
- Probability
- 36% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…months but importantly, if we've learned anything over the last 40 years, it's that these things, the supply of critical minerals and resources really matters.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Last year, the administration signed a critical minerals deal, mining deal with Kazakhstan for a little known US company, who was an agreement that President…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shownQuestions
- How often is “Mineral” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Mineral” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2025.
- What is the probability “Mineral” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Mineral’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/mineral (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=mineral · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP