Will “New York / Mayor” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “New York / Mayor” was said at the White House press briefing on 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
New York / Mayor
- Probability
- 53% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…him, and Georgia, building off of the incredible momentum generated over the last several days from his stops in Tennessee, New York, Texas and Nebraska.
…from that in the future. Just today, in the Southern District of New York, an indictment was returned that charging multiple Russian individuals that since…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
I wanted to ask you, why are you going to New York on 9/11 instead of the president? Is it because it's the 25th anniversary…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…tune in. On Friday, the President will travel to -- travel to New York City to attend a FIFA reception at Trump Tower, followed by…
And it's the most common job in New York. Again, this defies belief that you could get that much growth in single sectors, but these…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | New York / Mayor |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | New York / Mayor | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | New York / Mayor | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | New York / Mayor | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How often is “New York / Mayor” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “New York / Mayor” was said at the White House press briefing on 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 7, 2026.
- What is the probability “New York / Mayor” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘New York / Mayor’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/mayor-or-new-york (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=mayor%20%2F%20new%20york · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP