Will “Venezuela / Maduro” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Venezuela / Maduro” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Venezuela / Maduro
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…control of more than 65 billion barrels of proven oil reserves in Venezuela. He had a historic one day war, and now we are --…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…second thing I want to talk about a little bit is the Venezuela oil deal, which I know some of you will have questions on,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Venezuela / Maduro |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Venezuela / Maduro” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Venezuela / Maduro” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Venezuela / Maduro” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Venezuela / Maduro’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/maduro-or-venezuela (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=maduro%20%2F%20venezuela · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP