Will “Luigi Mangione” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Luigi Mangione” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 10, 2024.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Luigi Mangione
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | Luigi Mangione |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Luigi Mangione” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Luigi Mangione” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 10, 2024.
- What is the probability “Luigi Mangione” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Luigi Mangione’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/luigi-mangione (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=luigi%20mangione · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP