Will “Leverage” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Leverage” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 11, 2025.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Leverage
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…their behavior. Do you think that the current Iranian leadership recognizes the leverage that the US holds over it, so economically and militarily, enough to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2025 | Leverage |  Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How often is “Leverage” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Leverage” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 11, 2025.
- What is the probability “Leverage” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Leverage’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/leverage (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=leverage · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP