Will “Kevin / Warsh” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Kevin / Warsh” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 28, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Kevin / Warsh
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…back to substantial disinflation. But most importantly, I think we've got the Warsh Fed now. It's a new day at the Fed. The Treasury secretary…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Kevin / Warsh |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Kevin / Warsh” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Kevin / Warsh” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 28, 2026.
- What is the probability “Kevin / Warsh” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Kevin / Warsh’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/kevin-or-warsh (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=kevin%20%2F%20warsh · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP