Will “Kash / Patel” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Kash / Patel” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 25, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Kash / Patel
- Probability
- 39% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the past four weeks. Um, and today, you may have heard Director Patel announce that the FBI has arrested 10 out of 10 of the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | Kash / Patel |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Kash / Patel | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Kash / Patel” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Kash / Patel” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 25, 2025.
- What is the probability “Kash / Patel” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Kash / Patel’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/kash-or-patel (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=kash%20%2F%20patel · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP