Will “Karoline / Leavitt” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Karoline / Leavitt” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 14, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Oct 13, 2026
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Karoline / Leavitt
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Yeah. Well, firstly, my predecessor, Karoline Leavitt, did an incredible job. And I completely agree with the choice of new media seat. We are absolutely…
…I was supposed to. I will tell you, the fact that Caroline Leavitt did this for as long as she did is incredible. So thank…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the first White House press briefing since the departure of the great Karoline Leavitt. A key part of her legacy defining part was bringing more…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Thanks, Karoline. So Friday, the Section 122, the 10 percent global tariff, goes away. Is the President going to ask Congress for an extension or…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Thanks, Karoline. Welcome back to the Briefing Room and congrats on your baby.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Karoline / Leavitt |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Karoline / Leavitt” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Karoline / Leavitt” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Karoline / Leavitt” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Karoline / Leavitt’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/karoline-or-leavitt (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=karoline%20%2F%20leavitt · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP