Will “Kalshi” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Kalshi” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 17, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Kalshi
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Counts: role: press secretary
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…as you saw, I think this played out exactly how it should. Kalshi notified the CFTC of -- of suspicious activity. They investigated that, identified…
Back on the teleprompter issue, Notice reported earlier this year that Kalshi was inaccessible on the Wi-Fi that journalists here at the White House have…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Kalshi” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Kalshi” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 17, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Kalshi” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Kalshi’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/kalshi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=kalshi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP