Will “Judge” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Judge” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 22, 2025 (50%), most recently on May 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Judge
- Probability
- 39% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the Dobbs decision, members of Congress, the administration came out basically threatening judges for months on end. There's a full security force, OK, around every…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…President Trump's leadership is geared towards doing. The second way that I judge just that esprit de corps, that warrior spirit that you see at…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Judge” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Judge” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 22, 2025 (50%), most recently on May 22, 2025.
- What is the probability “Judge” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Judge’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/judge (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=judge · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP