Will “Iraq” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iraq” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Iraq
- Probability
- 31% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…all 12 of these individuals were naturalized citizens from Syria, Afghanistan, Sudan, Iraq and Somalia. When it comes to unlawful voting, which I expect there…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…you. First, the widow of an airman who was killed in the Iraq war says she's having trouble getting some of the benefits that they…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…deal. Can you say whether the drawdown will affect US forces past Iraq and Syria where American troops currently help protect Kurdish held areas from…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Iraq” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iraq” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iraq” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Iraq’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/iraq (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=iraq · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP