Will “Nuclear / Iran” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nuclear / Iran” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Nuclear / Iran
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…as $120 billion to build a -- to build eight large scale nuclear power plants, something we've needed as the United States and something President…
I'd like to ask you about the Iran war and about Anthony Fauci. On the Iran war, Congressman Thomas Massie today introduced articles of impeachment…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…to remember why are we doing this. Number one, it's so that Iran never has a nuclear weapon. And number two, what we're doing right…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…will read it for those at home who missed it. The civil nuclear deal, there will be no enrichment of material. An important point being…
…never targets civilians or children, unlike the other side of this conflict, Iran, who is well-known for killing women and children and innocent people in…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Nuclear / Iran |  Polymarket | Yes | 7 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Nuclear / Iran | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Nuclear / Iran” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nuclear / Iran” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “Nuclear / Iran” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Nuclear / Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/iran-or-nuclear (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=iran%20%2F%20nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP