Will “Iran / Iranian” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iran / Iranian” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 13, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
- Market
- 43¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Iran / Iranian
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
I'd like to ask you about the Iran war and about Anthony Fauci. On the Iran war, Congressman Thomas Massie today introduced articles of impeachment…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the reason gas prices are so high right now is because the Iranians are shooting at commercial shipping. Even, by the way, when they signed…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…you one other question? Just playing devil's advocate, why does Saudi Arabia get a civilian nuclear deal but Iran doesn't get a civilian nuclear deal?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…never targets civilians or children, unlike the other side of this conflict, Iran, who is well-known for killing women and children and innocent people in…
…the bat. First of all, I think the president's peace plan in Iran is already bearing real fruits for the American people. Last night, 12.5…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Iran / Iranian |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Iran / Iranian” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iran / Iranian” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 13, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iran / Iranian” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP