Will “Interest rate” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Interest rate” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Interest rate
- Probability
- 36% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Well, you know, obviously the president cares a lot about interest rates, and I think one of the main reasons he cares a lot about…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Thanks. So, President Trump has said that we can expect interest rates to come down very quickly a number of times in the last week,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Interest rate |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | Interest Rate | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Interest Rate | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Interest rate” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Interest rate” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2025.
- What is the probability “Interest rate” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Interest rate’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/interest-rate (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=interest%20rate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP