Will “India” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “India” was said at the White House press briefing on 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 10, 2025 (50%), most recently on Aug 20, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.

44%from settlement history only · n=8counts: role: press secretary
Last 10
4/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
role: press secretary

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

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Where it was said

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White House press briefing

India

Probability
44% · n=8
Settled
4/8 (50%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 20, 2025IndiaKalshiYes3
Jul 31, 2025IndiaKalshiYes1
Jun 30, 2025IndiaKalshiYes2
May 19, 2025IndiaKalshiNo1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
May 9, 2025IndiaKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2025IndiaKalshiNo0
Apr 22, 2025IndiaKalshiYes5
Apr 10, 2025IndiaKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “India” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “India” was said at the White House press briefing on 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 10, 2025 (50%), most recently on Aug 20, 2025.
What is the probability “India” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
44%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘India’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/india (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=india · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP