Will “ICE / NICE” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “ICE / NICE” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 27, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
ICE / NICE
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Nice to meet you. You're starting as White House press secretary three weeks before a midterm cycle that President Trump himself says will be very…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…different environment than before. I noticed you guys are sweating, which is nice. I love to see that. Um, we'll start -- we'll we'll start…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…to try to keep those interest rates down, but it would be nice to have some help from the Federal Reserve. All right. Ok. So,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…convicted of the most heinous and violent crimes. This past weekend alone, ICE arrested a Mexican national and gang member convicted of second degree murder…
…came at as the United States was you already have a really nice nuclear program. We're going to bribe you with American money in order…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | ICE / NICE |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “ICE / NICE” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “ICE / NICE” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “ICE / NICE” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘ICE / NICE’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/ice-or-nice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=ice%20%2F%20nice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP