Will “ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement” was said at the White House press briefing on 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2025 (67%), most recently on Oct 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement
- Probability
- 44% · n=6
- Settled
- 4/6 (67%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…convicted of the most heinous and violent crimes. This past weekend alone, ICE arrested a Mexican national and gang member convicted of second degree murder…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement |  Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 22, 2025 | ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| May 19, 2025 | ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often is “ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement” was said at the White House press briefing on 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2025 (67%), most recently on Oct 4, 2025.
- What is the probability “ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/ice-or-immigration-and-customs-enforcement (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=ice%20%2F%20immigration%20and%20customs%20enforcement · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP