Will “House” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “House” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 30, 2025.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
House
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…work for President Trump and the American people as the new White House press secretary. I want to thank President Trump for his trust that…
…is not something I can answer from the podium of the White House. There's dozens of factors that go into that and there's an application…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Thanks, Mr. Vice President. Today is the first White House press briefing since the departure of the great Karoline Leavitt. A key part of her…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…President Trump will welcome the Los Angeles Dodgers back to the White House to celebrate their second consecutive World Series Championship. Tomorrow night, the President…
Well, the White House has extremely strict ethical guidelines with respect to issues like this. And as I just told you, this individual will no…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2025 | House |  Kalshi | Yes | 16 |
Questions
- How often is “House” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “House” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 30, 2025.
- What is the probability “House” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘House’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/house (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=house · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP