Will “Home / Housing” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Home / Housing” was said at the White House press briefing on 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 20, 2026 (71%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Home / Housing
- Probability
- 54% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the Department of War has officially selected Cleveland, Ohio as the new home for the US Navy's Submarine Component Repair Center. This massive 46,000 square…
…A couple of other final points. So for all the kids at home and their parents, importantly, today is -- or I believe tomorrow is…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…not just great statistics, these are American businesses with the confidence to grow, hire and invest right here at home, rather than offshoring their jobs.
…funds can be used for college, starting a business, or purchasing a home. This is truly a transformational, nonpartisan program, so I encourage everyone listening…
…to other areas. I just learned this morning now they're infiltrating the home health care space in California, which is equally a problem because now…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Home / Housing |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | Yes | 12 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | Yes | 12 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Home / Housing” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Home / Housing” was said at the White House press briefing on 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 20, 2026 (71%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Home / Housing” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Home / Housing’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/home-or-housing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=home%20%2F%20housing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP