Will “Health / Healthy” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Health / Healthy” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Health / Healthy
- Probability
- 48% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
We now have a six week old baby who is happy and healthy. So honey, I love you. I'm very proud of you. And amazingly,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…-- money from our most vulnerable Americans are going to steal their health, they'll steal their life. And that's what we've been seeing in some…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Health / Healthy |  Kalshi | Yes | 15 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Health / Healthy | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Health / Healthy | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How often is “Health / Healthy” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Health / Healthy” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 4, 2025.
- What is the probability “Health / Healthy” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Health / Healthy’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/health-or-healthy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=health%20%2F%20healthy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP