Will “Hamas” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Hamas” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 10, 2025 (29%), most recently on Oct 6, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.

35%from settlement history only · n=7counts: role: press secretary
Last 10
2/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
role: press secretary

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

White House press briefing

Hamas

Probability
35% · n=7
Settled
2/7 (29%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Nov 12, 2025HamasKalshiNo0
Nov 4, 2025HamasKalshiNo0
Oct 23, 2025HamasKalshiNo0
Oct 6, 2025HamasKalshiYes2
Jun 6, 2025HamasKalshiNo0
Jun 3, 2025HamasKalshiYes2
Apr 10, 2025HamasKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “Hamas” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Hamas” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 10, 2025 (29%), most recently on Oct 6, 2025.
What is the probability “Hamas” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Hamas’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/hama (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=hama · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP