Will “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 7, 2026 (60%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.

47%from settlement history only · n=5Next: Press briefing, Feb 1, 2027 · counts: role: press secretary
Last 10
3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
role: press secretary
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

White House press briefing

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Probability
47% · n=5
Settled
3/5 (60%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: role: press secretary

5 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A).

Katie Zachariaspeakerqa · 4:00In transcript

…dominance, because energy security is national security. President Trump secured the biggest oil deal in world history, delivering the US majority control of more than…

Katie Zachariaspeakerqa · 4:24In transcript

…a great relationship with Venezuela. The US achieved record domestic oil and gas production in 2025 and record crude and petroleum product exports in 2026.…

Every match in the transcript

What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · settled no

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not said

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · said 9 times (counts)

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Counts: role: press secretary

9 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 8 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Karoline Leavittspeakerprepared · 1:15In transcript

…largest monthly decline in more than six years. Prices fell including for gasoline, electricity, non-prescription drugs, car insurance, medical care services and hotels, delivering relief…

Karoline Leavittspeakerqa · 30:32In transcript

With respect to gas prices, as you know, the price of oil right now is approximately $80 a barrel, maybe a little less. Before I…

Every match in the transcript

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 13, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes5
Sep 15, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jul 23, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo0
Jul 17, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes9
Jan 7, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes14

Questions

How often is “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 7, 2026 (60%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
What is the probability “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP