Will “Gas / Gasoline” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Gas / Gasoline” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
- Market
- 47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Gas / Gasoline
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…a great relationship with Venezuela. The US achieved record domestic oil and gas production in 2025 and record crude and petroleum product exports in 2026.…
…we had for a very long time, the Biden administration, draining the Strategic Petroleum Reserve purely for the purpose of lowering gas and oil costs.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…largest monthly decline in more than six years. Prices fell including for gasoline, electricity, non-prescription drugs, car insurance, medical care services and hotels, delivering relief…
…Oil prices are down nearly at their level from the pre-war conflict. Gas prices dropped below $4 a gallon today for the first time since…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Natural gas is down. That's why I believe, and the futures market is showing us, oil will be lower than pre-conflict levels. We are more…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Gas / Gasoline |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Gas / Gasoline” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Gas / Gasoline” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability “Gas / Gasoline” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/gas-or-gasoline (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP