Will “Gang” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Gang” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Apr 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Gang
- Probability
- 39% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Memphis area, more than 2,000 illegal firearms seized and nearly 1,500 known gang members arrested over the past year. We also located more than 200…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…violent crimes. This past weekend alone, ICE arrested a Mexican national and gang member convicted of second degree murder in California, a Dominican national convicted…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Gang” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Gang” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Apr 16, 2025.
- What is the probability “Gang” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Gang’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/gang (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=gang · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP