Will “Filibuster” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Filibuster” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceWhite House press briefing
Filibuster
- Probability
- 31% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Filibuster | No | 0 | |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Filibuster | No | 0 | |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Filibuster | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Filibuster” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Filibuster” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025.
- What is the probability “Filibuster” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Filibuster’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/filibuster (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=filibuster · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP