Will “Epstein / Maxwell” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Epstein / Maxwell” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceWhite House press briefing
Epstein / Maxwell
- Probability
- 32% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Epstein / Maxwell | No | 0 | |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Epstein / Maxwell | No | 0 | |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Epstein / Maxwell | No | 0 | |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Epstein / Maxwell | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Epstein / Maxwell” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Epstein / Maxwell” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 29, 2025.
- What is the probability “Epstein / Maxwell” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Epstein / Maxwell’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/epstein-or-maxwell (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=epstein%20%2F%20maxwell · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP