Will “Epstein / Maxwell” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Epstein / Maxwell” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.

32%from settlement history only · n=4counts: role: press secretary
Last 10
0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
role: press secretary

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

White House press briefing

Epstein / Maxwell

Probability
32% · n=4
Settled
0/4 (0%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 4, 2025Epstein / MaxwellKalshiNo0
Oct 1, 2025Epstein / MaxwellKalshiNo0
Sep 22, 2025Epstein / MaxwellKalshiNo0
Aug 29, 2025Epstein / MaxwellKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “Epstein / Maxwell” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Epstein / Maxwell” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 29, 2025.
What is the probability “Epstein / Maxwell” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
32%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Epstein / Maxwell’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/epstein-or-maxwell (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=epstein%20%2F%20maxwell · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP