Will “Epstein” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Epstein” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 17, 2025 (12%), most recently on Feb 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 25% (n=17, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.

25%from settlement history only · n=17counts: role: press secretary
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
role: press secretary

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

White House press briefing

Epstein

Probability
25% · n=17
Settled
2/17 (12%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 19 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Mar 31, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Mar 10, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Mar 4, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Feb 18, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Feb 10, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes6
Feb 5, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Jan 26, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Jan 20, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Jan 15, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Jan 7, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Dec 11, 2025EpsteinPolymarketNo0
Dec 11, 2025EpsteinKalshiNo0
Dec 1, 2025EpsteinKalshiNo0
Nov 20, 2025EpsteinPolymarketNo0
Nov 20, 2025EpsteinKalshiNo0
Aug 13, 2025EpsteinKalshiNo0
Jul 31, 2025EpsteinKalshiNo0
Jul 23, 2025EpsteinKalshiNo0
Jul 17, 2025EpsteinKalshiYes6

Questions

How often is “Epstein” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Epstein” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 17, 2025 (12%), most recently on Feb 10, 2026.
What is the probability “Epstein” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
25%, from settlement history (n=17). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Epstein’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/epstein (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=epstein · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP