Will “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 31, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…be leadership elections after the midterm elections in the Senate. Today will you endorse John Thune to be the GOP leader in the new Congress?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…his patience running out with Leader Thune? And then the President recently endorsed Darlane Graham right after her appointment to Senate. What caused him to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 31, 2026.
- What is the probability “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/endorse-or-endorsed-or-endorsement (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=endorse%20%2F%20endorsed%20%2F%20endorsement · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP