Will “Diplomacy” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Diplomacy” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Diplomacy
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…economy as a result. The President is always open and willing to diplomacy. He is the peace through strength president, after all. After Operation Epic…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…assault from Russia on Kyiv in recent days, and the fact that diplomacy seems to have settled down, there are no diplomatic talks happening right…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Diplomacy” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Diplomacy” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Diplomacy” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Diplomacy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/diplomacy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=diplomacy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP